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Hydrology & Hydraulics · 2020–2022

Warsamson Dam Break Analysis

Dam-break modelling and inundation analysis for Warsamson Dam, East Papua.

Warsamson Dam Break Analysis geospatial project

Project overview

Comprehensive dam-break analysis using hydrologic and hydraulic models to simulate breach scenarios, map downstream inundation, assess risk, and provide technical input for emergency action planning and dam-safety mitigation.

The project challenge

Dam-break assessment must represent a credible range of breach and flow behaviour while producing downstream information that emergency planners can understand and act upon.

Technical approach

  1. Organised reservoir, dam, terrain, hydrologic, and downstream spatial information for scenario development.
  2. Prepared breach and hydraulic scenarios in the modelling environment with documented parameters and boundary assumptions.
  3. Simulated downstream propagation and reviewed inundation extent, depth, velocity, and timing behaviour.
  4. Integrated settlements, infrastructure, administrative areas, and evacuation context with model results.
  5. Prepared technical maps and inputs supporting the Emergency Action Plan and dam-safety discussion.

Key deliverables

  • Dam-break scenario models
  • Inundation depth and extent maps
  • Velocity and arrival-time information
  • Exposure and downstream context maps
  • Technical inputs for emergency-action planning

Decision value

  • A spatial understanding of downstream consequences
  • Evidence for emergency zones and communication
  • Comparable breach-scenario information
  • A documented modelling package for engineering review

QUALITY & INTERPRETATION

Scenario results are evaluated with attention to terrain quality, reservoir and breach assumptions, downstream geometry, model stability, and the distinction between planning scenarios and forecasts.

PROJECT EVIDENCE

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